书名：中东发展报告No.16（2013～2014）：盘点中东安全问题

丛书名：中东黄皮书

定价：¥89.00

作者：杨光 主编  唐志超 副主编

出版社：社会科学文献出版社

出版时间：2014年10月     

ISBN：9787509765210  

页数：352

版次：1版1次

装帧：平装    

开本：16        

字数：355千字

内容简介

本年度的《中东发展报告》以“盘点中东安全问题”为研究专题，详细论述了中东地区各种传统和非传统安全问题及其发展前景，是一部全面系统研究中东安全问题的著作，对全面深入认识中东热点问题以及推动中东研究学科发展有显著的现实意义和理论意义。

本报告以中东安全问题为专题进行全面而系统的探讨，并分别论述了民族和部族问题、宗教和教派问题、边界领土争端、核扩散问题、恐怖主义问题、能源安全问题、金融安全问题、水资源安全问题、难民问题等，以及这些问题对地区安全与稳定的影响。报告指出，中东安全问题具有“复合型”和“多样性”特征，当前中东地区安全局势正呈现“动荡长期化和常态化”，安全问题急剧恶化的发展态势，并形成了“地区性安全危机”。报告认为，外来干涉、历史积怨、利益纠葛、教派冲突、族群纷争等内外因素相互作用是中东地区安全问题恶化的基本原因。报告强调，中东安全问题既对中东国家的稳定和发展构成了严峻威胁，又对地区及国际安全产生了重大挑战。树立新的安全观、加强全球和地区治理、构建中东安全机制才是解决目前中东地区安全困境的根本途径。

此外，报告还回顾和分析了一年来中东政治经济形势、市场环境，并介绍了国内中东研究学科的最新发展、整理了中东地区大事记，为跟踪地区形势发展和学科研究前沿提供了全面扎实的信息。地区形势部分重点回顾了叙利亚危机、伊朗核问题、埃及局势及中东经济的最新发展。市场趋势部分分析了贸易、投资、工程承包的市场走向。

关键词：中东安全成因影响趋势

Annual Report on Development in the Middle East No.16 2013-2014 focus on Middle-East security issues. This report discusses the development and prospects of the Middle East on both traditional and non-traditional security issues in detail. This is a book that studies the Middle East security issues, concentrelately, comprehensively and systematically. This report helps reader deeply understand the hot issues in the Middle East, and also helps promoting the development of Middle East study. So there are dramatic practical and theoretical significance of this report.

This report puts the Middle East security issues as the main topic comprehensively and systematically, and discusses the ethnic and tribal issue, religious and sectarian issue, border dispute issue, nuclear proliferation issue, water resources security issue, terrorism issue, energy security issue, financial security issue, refugee issue and the impact of those issues on security and stability in Middle-East region. The report points out that the security issues in Middle East is“complex” and “diversified”.The security situation of this region appears the characteristic of long term turbulence normalized with the rapid deterioration of the security problems. A regional security crisis is setting. According to the report, outside interference, historical grievances, the disputes of interests, religious conflict, ethnic strife and interaction of other internal and external factors are the basic reasons of the deteriorating security situation in Middle East. The report emphasizes that security problems in Middle East are not only related to the stability and development of the Middle East countries, but also pose a significant challenge to regional and international security. So the fundamental way to solve the Middle East security dilemma is to foster a new security concept, strengthen the management and construction of global and regional security mechanismat present.

In addition, the report also analyzes the Middle East politic and economic situation, market environment in 2013, and reviews the latest domestic development and memorabilia of Middle East Studies. This report provides solid and comprehensive information for tracking the regional situation and research frontier. The regional situation part of this report reviews the Syria crisis, the Iran Nuclear issue, the situation in Egypt and the new development of economy in Middle East. The market trends analyzes in detail, the future development of trade, investment, and project contracting in this region.

Keywords: Security in Middle East； Reason；Impact；Future

中文目录

Ⅰ　主报告

1　中东地区安全形势分析【王林聪】／001

Ⅱ　专题报告

2　中东民族问题与地区安全【唐志超】／020

3　中东伊斯兰教派冲突及其影响【王　凤】／038

4　中东部落问题与地区安全【王金岩】／050

5　中东核扩散问题与地区安全【余国庆】／065

7　中东边界问题与地区安全【马文琤】／098

8　中东难民问题与地区安全【魏　亮】／117

9　中东能源安全问题【陈　沫】／136

10　中东金融安全问题【姜英梅】／149

11　中东水资源安全【仝　菲】／165

12　中东粮食进口安全问题【刘　冬】／180

Ⅲ　地区形势

13　“化武换和平”之后叙利亚危机发展【刘月琴】／197

14　伊朗核问题：外交解决的意愿、时机和行动【陆　瑾】／212

15　埃及政局：动荡中的调整【唐志超】／227

16　2013年中东地区经济发展【姜明新】／239

Ⅳ　市场走向

17　2013年西亚国家的对外直接投资【徐　强】／264

18　2013年西亚国家的工程承包【金　锐】／276

19　2013年西亚国家的对外贸易【周　密】／287

Ⅴ　资料文献

20　2013中东学科发展综述【王金岩】／299

21　2013年中东地区大事记【成　红】／311